Mar 20, 2013
Forex Flash: BoE follows Fed pattern – UBS
With the (likely) introduction of 'forward guidance' and 'intermediate thresholds' to anchor policy as much as possible, the stage is set for low rates and/or QE to remain in place until unemployment and inflation reach levels consistent with 'escape velocity' in the UK. According to UBS Research Analyst Geoffrey Yu, “ In essence, the BoE is choosing to do a 'Fed' rather than a 'BoJ'. For sterling, although the immediate risk of policy-driven debasement has been alleviated, we would sell sterling into the post-budget rally as the broader direction for the BoE is towards more flexibility, and in Chancellor Osborne's own words, more 'monetary activism'.”
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